Each year, a range of material is derived from JMSJ's articles - from Editors' Highlights to press releases and more. We present them here.
JMSJ Editor's Highlight (13 Jul. 2020)
- Kawabata, Y., and M. Yamaguchi, 2020: Probability ellipse for tropical cyclone track forecasts with multiple ensembles. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 98,
Early Online Release Graphical Abstract
The effectiveness of the probability ellipse for tropical cyclone (TC) track forecasts is investigated with multiple ensembles from the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA), the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), the U.S. National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP), and the Met Office in the United Kingdom (UKMO), for all TCs from 2016 to 2018. The multiple ensembles composed of these four global ensembles are capable of predicting the situation-dependent uncertainties of TC track forecasts appropriately in both the along-track and cross-track directions. [click here]
JMSJ Editor's Highlight (5 Mar. 2020)
- Stevens, B., C. Acquistapace, A. Hansen, R. Heinze, C. Klinger, D. Klocke, H. Rybka, W. Schubotz, J. Windmiller, P. Adamidis, I. Arka, V. Barlakas, J. Biercamp, M. Brueck, S. Brune, S. A. Buehler, U. Burkhardt, G. Cioni, M. Costa-Suròs, S. Crewell, T. Crüger, H. Deneke, P. Friederichs, C. C. Henken, C. Hohenegger, M. Jacob, F. Jakub, N. Kalthoff, M. Köhler, T. W. van Laar, P. Li, U. Löhnert, A. Macke, N. Madenach, B. Mayer, C. Nam, A. K. Naumann, K. Peters, S. Poll, J. Quaas, N. Röber, N. Rochetin, L. Scheck, V. Schemann, S. Schnitt, A. Seifert, F. Senf, M. Shapkalijevski, C. Simmer, S. Singh, O. Sourdeval, D. Spickermann, J. Strandgren, O. Tessiot, N. Vercauteren, J. Vial, A. Voigt, and G. Zängl, 2020: The added value of large-eddy and storm-resolving models for simulating clouds and precipitation. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 98, 395-435.
Special Edition on DYAMOND: The DYnamics of the Atmospheric general circulation Modeled On Non-hydrostatic Domains
https://doi.org/10.2151/jmsj.2020-021 Graphical Abstract
This study investigates, if atmospheric models with horizontal resolutions of 100 m to 2 km are able to better simulate key features, like clouds and precipitation, of the climate system than currently used models employing much coarser resolution and parameterized convection. Precipitation characteristics are much more realistic in the simulations with explicitly convection, already at kilometer resolutions. Increasing resolution to hectometer scales improves the simulation of precipitation only modestly, but substantially improves the simulation of clouds. The results suggest that new climate models, which explicitly resolve convection and the interaction with its environment, offer exciting opportunities to learn about the climate system. [click here]
JMSJ Editor's Highlight (4 Jan. 2020)
- Takemura, K., and H. Mukougawa, 2020: Dynamical relationship between quasi-stationary Rossby wave propagation along the Asian jet and Pacific-Japan pattern in boreal summer. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 98, 169-187.
https://doi.org/10.2151/jmsj.2020-010 Graphical Abstract
To reveal a new possible process linking the quasi-stationary Rossby wave propagation over Eurasia along the Asian jet and the Pacific-Japan (PJ) pattern through the Rossby wave breaking (RWB) east of Japan during boreal summer, this study conducts a lag composite analysis of the past 44 RWB events. The results of this paper show that the quasi-stationary Rossby wave propagation along the Asian jet can excite the PJ pattern, through high potential vorticity (PV) intrusion toward the subtropical western North Pacific associated with the RWB and the consequent enhanced convection over the region. [click here]
JMSJ Editor's Highlight (11 Dec. 2019)
- Tsuyuki, T., 2019: Ensemble Kalman filtering based on potential vorticity for atmospheric multi-scale data assimilation. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 97, 1191-1210.
https://doi.org/10.2151/jmsj.2019-067 Graphical Abstract
A multi-scale data assimilation method for the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) is proposed and its performance is demonstrated using a shallow water model. The method is based on the conservation and invertibility of potential vorticity. It suppresses spurious error correlations between the balanced and unbalanced parts of dynamical state variables and makes it possible to appropriately address the balance issue of covariance localization. [click here]
JMSJ Editor's Highlight (09 Aug. 2019)
- Yukimoto, S., H. Kawai, T. Koshiro, N. Oshima, K. Yoshida, S. Urakawa, H. Tsujino, M. Deushi, T. Tanaka, M. Hosaka, S. Yabu, H. Yoshimura, E. Shindo, R. Mizuta, A. Obata, Y. Adachi, and M. Ishii, 2019: The Meteorological Research Institute Earth System Model version 2.0, MRI-ESM2.0:
Description and basic evaluation of the physical component. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 97,931-965.
https://doi.org/10.2151/jmsj.2019-051 Graphical Abstract
A new earth system model MRI-ESM 2.0 was developed at the Meteorological Research Institute. As a result of enhancement of the atmospheric vertical resolution and various improvements for the cloud scheme, the aerosol model, and the ocean model, the performance in present-day climate reproduction has significantly improved in many aspects compared to the former model MRI-CGCM3. Root-meansquare- error (RMSE) of the shortwave radiation distribution at the top of the atmosphere reduced by about 42% compared to MRI-CGCM3 (Figure 1). Performance is also improved in expressing climate change and variability. For example, the observed global mean surface temperature change from the mid-19th century to the present is reproduced quite well. The stratospheric quasi biennial oscillation is now represented realistically. [click here]
JMSJ Editor's Highlight (10 Jun. 2019)
- Liu, B., C. Zhu, J. Su, S. Ma, and K. Xu, 2019: Record-breaking northward shift of the western North Pacific Subtropical High in July 2018. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 97, 913-925.
Special Edition on Extreme Rainfall Events in 2017 and 2018
https://doi.org/10.2151/jmsj.2019-047 Graphical Abstract
The northward shift of the western North Pacific Subtropical High (WNPSH) in July 2018 broke the historical record since 1958. The present work attributes the extreme WNPSH anomaly to the strongest positive tri-pole pattern of sea surface temperature anomaly (SSTA) in the North Atlantic. This SSTA could induce an eastward propagating wave-train over the Eurasian Continent and enhance the atmospheric diabatic heating over the eastern Tibetan Plateau to cause the extreme northward shift of the WNPSH, finally leading to the extreme heat waves and casualties across Northeast Asia (NEA), especially over the southern Japan. [click here]
Press Release (13 Mar. 2019)
- Watanabe, S., M. Fujita, S. Kawazoe, S. Sugimoto, Y. Okada, R. Mizuta, and M. Ishii, 2019: Frequency change of clear-air turbulence over the North Pacific under 2 K global warming - Ensemble projections using a 60-km atmospheric general circulation model. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 97, 757-771.
https://doi.org/10.2151/jmsj.2019-038 Graphical Abstract
Global warming may influence geographical distributions of clear-air turbulence (CAT) hazardous for aircrafts. This study addresses frequency change of CAT over the North Pacific under 2 K global warming based on the database for Policy Decision making for Future climate change (d4PDF; http://www.miroc-gcm.jp/~pub/d4PDF/index_en.html). The CAT broadly decreases in the midlatitude central to western North Pacific along with the south side of its present-day high-frequency band extending from Japan to the eastern North Pacific. Meanwhile, large relative increases are found outside the band, implying an increased risk of CAT encounters. These changes depend on season, CAT indices, and uncertainties in future warming patterns of sea surface temperature projected by climate models. [click here for the press release from JAMSTEC (in Japanese)]
JMSJ Editor's Highlight (1 Feb. 2019)
- Ose, T., 2019: Characteristics of future changes in summertime East Asian monthly precipitation in MRI-AGCM global warming experiments. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 97, 317-335.
https://doi.org/10.2151/jmsj.2019-018 Graphical Abstract
Future changes in monthly June-to-August precipitation over East Asia are interpreted through the analysis based on a theoretical concept of the Baiu rain-band formation (Figure 1). The analysis is performed on the global warming experiments during the end period of 21st century under the RCP8.5 scenario using the high-resolution Meteorological Research Institute Atmospheric Global Circulation Models (MRI-AGCM3.2H with 60 km mesh). The results are potentially valuable for interpreting the output of other global warming simulations. [click here]