Graphical Abstract

Watanabe, S. I., A. Murata, H. Sasaki, H. Kawase, and M. Nosaka, 2019: Future projection of tropical cyclone precipitation over Japan with a high-resolution regional climate model. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 97, 805-820. Abstract with highlights

Plain Language Summary: This study evaluated future changes in tropical cyclone (TC) precipitation over Japan using an ensemble projection generated by a non-hydrostatic regional climate model with a horizontal resolution of 5 km (NHRCM05). The total TC precipitation does not change significantly, while the frequency of extreme TC precipitation increases due to the intensification of TC precipitation rate. The increase of water vapor and the intensification and structural changes of the TCs contribute to the increase of TC precipitation rate.